#1 International
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
A striking paradox sits at the heart of this market's 24-hour moves.
Leading: Nicolás Maduro · 9 more outcomes tracked
44%
+4.9pp 24h
Prizma
News through the prediction-market prism.
Prizma tracks what the biggest prediction markets are saying — and what's moving them. Every page is a market, its current odds, and the news traders are reacting to.
Biggest odds moves — last 24 hours
5 tracked markets-
- #2 Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom edged up half a percentage point on the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market over the past 24 hours, continuing a steady 30-day climb that has taken him from roughly 24% to nearly 28%.
Leading: Gavin Newsom · 9 more outcomes tracked
28%+0.5pp 24h - #3 International
Netanyahu out by...?
The "Netanyahu out by December 31" outcome has held steady at 43.5% over the past 24 hours — a negligible 0.5 percentage-point tick upward — even as the broader region saw signific
Leading: December 31 · 2 more outcomes tracked
44%+0.5pp 24h - #4 Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
The 2028 Republican presidential nomination market showed only minor shuffling over the past 24 hours, with J.D. Vance slipping half a point to 38.5% and Marco Rubio gaining 0.7 po
Leading: J.D. Vance · 9 more outcomes tracked
38%-0.5pp 24h - #5 Economy
Fed decision in April?
The market for an April 2026 Fed rate decision has become nearly unanimous: "No change" now sits at 99.2%, up 0.2 percentage points in the past 24 hours and nearly 6 points higher
Leading: No change · 3 more outcomes tracked
99%+0.2pp 24h