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Spider-Man: Brand New Day gained 4.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours, climbing to 44.5% implied probability, while Toy Story 5 dropped 7.8 points to 25.2% and The Super Ma
Leading: Spider-Man: Brand New Day · 9 more outcomes tracked
Kimi Antonelli’s implied probability of winning the F1 Drivers' Championship dipped 3.1 percentage points over the past day, settling at 66.9%, while George Russell surged 4.5 poin
Leading: Kimi Antonelli · 9 more outcomes tracked
The Brazil presidential election market shifted modestly over the past 24 hours, with Lula gaining two percentage points to 47.5% implied probability while his main rivals—Flávio B
Leading: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · 9 more outcomes tracked
Nicolás Maduro’s implied probability of remaining Venezuela’s leader through the end of 2026 crept up another 1.9 percentage points over the past day, reaching 72.5%. The move exte
Leading: Nicolás Maduro · 9 more outcomes tracked
to Pakistan PM's newsto Pakistan PM's newsto Pakistan PM's newsto Pakistan PM's news I should keep DRIVERS to top few.
Leading: December 31 · 5 more outcomes tracked
Xavier Becerra’s odds of winning the California governorship continued their month-long surge on Friday, reaching 89.2% — up nearly 17 percentage points over the past week and 37 p
Leading: Xavier Becerra · 9 more outcomes tracked
The market for the largest company by market capitalization at the end of June remains a near-foregone conclusion, with NVIDIA priced at 94.0% — up just 0.5 percentage points in th
Leading: NVIDIA · 6 more outcomes tracked
The 2026 NBA Champion market has all but settled on a Knicks victory.
Leading: New York Knicks · 1 more outcomes tracked
The biggest move in the Nobel Peace Prize market over the past 24 hours is a 3.0 percentage point surge for UNRWA, pushing its implied probability to 9.2%. This jump coincides with
Leading: Volodymyr Zelenskyy · 9 more outcomes tracked
The market for the 2026 World Cup winner has seen little meaningful movement over the past 24 hours, with most implied probabilities shifting by a percentage point or less.
Leading: Spain · 9 more outcomes tracked
The probability that a hantavirus pandemic will be declared in 2026 has fallen to 3.6 %, continuing a steady slide over the past month from 7.2 %. Over the most recent 24‑hour peri
Leading: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?