F1 Drivers' Champion
Kimi Antonelli 66.9%
24h -3.1pp
7d +17.9pp
30d +29.4pp
Affiliate link — Prizma may earn a commission, at no cost to you.
Disclosure: Polymarket links are affiliate. We earn a small commission if you trade — it doesn't influence which markets we cover.
All tracked outcomes
| Outcome | Prob. | 24h | 7d |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 17.0% | +4.5pp | -11.5pp |
| Lewis Hamilton | 3.2% | -1.0pp | -0.3pp |
| Max Verstappen | 3.1% | +0.1pp | -0.7pp |
| Charles Leclerc | 2.5% | +0.4pp | -2.0pp |
| Lando Norris | 2.2% | +0.3pp | -2.3pp |
| Oscar Piastri | 1.3% | -0.1pp | -0.8pp |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.4% | — | — |
| Sergio Pérez | 0.4% | — | — |
| Isack Hadjar | 0.4% | — | — |
Reddit chatter
Updated Sat, 13 Jun 2026 00:00:03 UTCRecent posts and comments from across Reddit mentioning this market. Refreshed every 15 minutes.
- kimi saying “good job piastri” when oscar impeded him and then tried a fake shove to oscar Barcelona gp FP2
- Vesti & Beganovic leading the championship
- Lando Norris was hopeful McLaren would take a step forward in competitiveness at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after topping the times in Friday practice.
- Cadillac fined €500 for Perez also speeding in the pit lane
- 2026 Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix - FP2 Top 3
- [The Race] Toto Wolff says Mercedes is in discussions with its lawyers to see if there are any grounds for it to push the FIA to “remedy” George Russell’s lost points at the Monaco GP:
- Lewis Hamilton: “Something’s wrong with the rear of the car. The car was dragging down the straight.” Santi: “It could be the wind, maybe the rotation of the wind.”
- [espnf1] Lewis Hamilton doesn't want England fans to get ahead of themselves
- [La Gazetta Ferrari] Lewis Hamilton: "My goal is to put input that elevates the whole team and Charles is a part of that."
- Max verstappen on having a NEW engine after his dnf in Monaco
What's moving this market
Updated Sat, 13 Jun 2026 00:01:34 UTCDrivers
- No clear news driver — Friday practice at Barcelona (Norris topping FP2, Antonelli’s minor track incident with Piastri) shifted trader sentiment toward Russell and Norris as potential challengers.
Kimi Antonelli’s implied probability of winning the F1 Drivers' Championship dipped 3.1 percentage points over the past day, settling at 66.9%, while George Russell surged 4.5 points to 17.0%. The shift appears tied to on-track action at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix, where Friday practice sessions provided fresh form signals.
Lando Norris topped FP2 times, sparking hope among traders that McLaren may have closed the gap to Mercedes. A high-scoring Reddit thread on r/formula1 noted Norris’s optimism about McLaren’s competitiveness after the session, which could explain the modest increase in his odds (+0.2pp) and the broader redistribution of probability away from Antonelli. Meanwhile, a post highlighting a playful exchange between Antonelli and Oscar Piastri—where Antonelli joked about a “fake shove” after Piastri impeded him—likely contributed little to the market move but underscored the competitive tension.
The 30-day chart shows Antonelli’s dominance is a recent phenomenon, rising from 38.6% a month ago, and today’s dip may simply be a consolidation after a sharp run-up. No major news articles addressed the F1 market directly; the most relevant feeds were general health, finance, and UFC items. Traders appear to be reacting to practice session results and team form indicators rather than any singular headline.